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July 20, 2023
The Positive Start Continues for U.S. Stocks

With a look at the first 6 months of 2023, this overview examines past “positive starts” in the U.S. Stock Market, gives data for the easing of stock volatility, and how the Feds raising rates may affect performance. Included is a deeper look at bonds and retirement income planning, such as U.S. inflation versus cash, bonds and stocks and the importance of withdrawal planning.

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June 23, 2023
A Positive Start to the Year for Stocks

Looking at stats from January through May, it’s good to see a positive start to the year for U.S. stocks. This market overview also looks at the growth heavy U.S. large cap stock index and charts the hidden risk in Growth vs. Value. Included is a current and historical look at how the Fed funds rate affects core bonds, short term bonds, and performance strategies with a potential Fed Reserve pause.

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June 2, 2023
After a Federal Reserve Pause

With a focus on how the Market responds to a Federal Reserve pause, this month we examine the effect on Stocks and Bonds. Also included is a deeper look at Money Market assets and their recent historic peaking, along with U.S. debt ceiling concerns and an overview of what’s driving the market these days.

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April 26, 2023
Interest Rates Swung Dramatically

This end of the month Market overview looks at the dramatic swing in falling interest rates and how it affected market volatility. It also includes data showing how U.S. stocks have persevered through financial crisis and bank failures. Plus a new look at Money Market and Bond Fund flows.

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March 30, 2023
Money Market Assets at Historic Peak

This month’s Student of the Market looks at U.S. stock performance after peaks in Money Market fund assets and performance following peaks in inflation. The big question in many minds is “how long will this inflation last?” An answer might be found in these stats on prior inflation cycles. Plus a chart on a possible downside with risky income asset classes and more market insights.

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February 27, 2023
Anatomy of Bull Market Rebounds

Tracking sport stats is immensely popular - because what an athlete has done in the past can often give an indication of what they might do in the future. The history of bull market rebounds can shed similar insight. This month we look at historical performance following a bear market and the basic structure of a bull market. Included is a recap of performance based on how much the Fed raises rates, the most reliable recession indicator, and more.

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January 29, 2023
Don't Judge Diversification on Feelings

Focusing on what happened in 2022, this Student of the Market shows an overview of last year’s performance compared to similar years in the market’s history. This may be a window into the possibilities for 2023 and the future of Federal Reserve rate hikes. Also a look at the numbers showing that even though portfolio diversification works, it doesn’t always feel good.

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December 19, 2022
Big Bounce in October and November

Many are questioning if the bounce in stocks is recent durable? For now, this past Oct. & Nov. performance for U.S. stocks is being counted in the top 15 “best 2-month” performances since 1950. This month’s Student of the Market also shows the 2022 YTD stats for market volatility and growth vs. value fund assets, as well a more insight into what’s going on with bonds.

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December 1, 2022
Market Performance and a Recession Indicator

U.S. stocks historically average 10% per year but rarely do they finish a year at that level. See the difference between the average annual return and what happened to stocks YTD in 2022 by looking at the range of returns for stocks by the full calendar year. A quick glance at the most reliable recession indicator and how alternative asset classes do better when the return on “cash” is higher. Plus stats on market performance.

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October 24, 2022
Historic Bear Market in Bonds

As market volatility continues and the mid-term election draws rapidly near, this month’s Student of the Market gives insight into the relationship between midterm election years and market performance. You might be surprised to see the breakdown of U.S. stock sector performance for the last five Presidents. Also stats on performance following peaks in inflation and performance 12 months after bad starts for bonds/stocks, may bring some relief.

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