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Many are questioning if the bounce in stocks is recent durable? For now, this past Oct. & Nov. performance for U.S. stocks is being counted in the top 15 “best 2-month” performances since 1950. This month’s Student of the Market also shows the 2022 YTD stats for market volatility and growth vs. value fund assets, as well a more insight into what’s going on with bonds.
U.S. stocks historically average 10% per year but rarely do they finish a year at that level. See the difference between the average annual return and what happened to stocks YTD in 2022 by looking at the range of returns for stocks by the full calendar year. A quick glance at the most reliable recession indicator and how alternative asset classes do better when the return on “cash” is higher. Plus stats on market performance.
As market volatility continues and the mid-term election draws rapidly near, this month’s Student of the Market gives insight into the relationship between midterm election years and market performance. You might be surprised to see the breakdown of U.S. stock sector performance for the last five Presidents. Also stats on performance following peaks in inflation and performance 12 months after bad starts for bonds/stocks, may bring some relief.
After a big July for stocks, August was a bit disappointing at -4.1% even though historically the average return after “best months” is 1.1%. This month’s Student of the Market looks at those type of U.S. Stock Market ups and downs from a historical point of view, offering some relief to turbulent feelings by looking at the big picture.
With a good Market showing in July, what are the historical trends for the 6 months following? Now throw in mid-term elections and this month’s overview of market performance gets very interesting. Also included are past trends for stock performance during recessions and a quick look at a couple of inverted yield curves.
History shows that mid-term election years have an effect on market performance. What does that look like during the kind of market volatility already encountered in 2022? This month’s Student of the Market takes a quick look at stats showing market performance across the election cycle. There is also a quick study of stats showing the trends for Bull and Bear Markets, and recession asset class performance.
Do you feel your satisfaction level with the market is tracking with the norm? Maybe this brief history of long term stock performance might help change your mind. This month’s Student of the Market shows the numbers on how $1,000 invested in 1926 grew to over $14 million and how best days for stocks tend to closely follow the worst days.
Here’s a quick look at how the history of major geopolitical events have affected market volatility along with stats on the market volatility of today and the importance of limiting downsize. This year we’ve seen the 2nd worst start of a year ever for bonds, reaching the top 10 of worst starts for stock returns in January and February. What can the history of other “worst starts” tell us?