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Articles View: Market Commentary

July 31, 2023
Time to Shop Your Cash plus GDP Surpises

In this review of July, Strong Valley team members Jason and Kyle talk about how important it is to shop your cash now that the rates make it worthwhile. They also discuss several surprises in the GDP and Housing Market, along with forecasts for rate hikes and the long predicted recession.

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July 20, 2023
The Positive Start Continues for U.S. Stocks

With a look at the first 6 months of 2023, this overview examines past “positive starts” in the U.S. Stock Market, gives data for the easing of stock volatility, and how the Feds raising rates may affect performance. Included is a deeper look at bonds and retirement income planning, such as U.S. inflation versus cash, bonds and stocks and the importance of withdrawal planning.

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July 7, 2023
Tech Titans and Real Estate Resilience

Strong Valley team members Chris and Jason discuss the performance of domestic and international markets, bonds, commodities, and real estate. They highlight the significant influence of big tech stocks and the impact of a few key players on overall market trends. They also explore the unexpected stability in real estate prices despite rising mortgage rates. They conclude with a discussion on the challenges in the commercial real estate sector due to high vacancy rates, largely driven by the enduring work-from-home trend.

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June 23, 2023
A Positive Start to the Year for Stocks

Looking at stats from January through May, it’s good to see a positive start to the year for U.S. stocks. This market overview also looks at the growth heavy U.S. large cap stock index and charts the hidden risk in Growth vs. Value. Included is a current and historical look at how the Fed funds rate affects core bonds, short term bonds, and performance strategies with a potential Fed Reserve pause.

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June 2, 2023
After a Federal Reserve Pause

With a focus on how the Market responds to a Federal Reserve pause, this month we examine the effect on Stocks and Bonds. Also included is a deeper look at Money Market assets and their recent historic peaking, along with U.S. debt ceiling concerns and an overview of what’s driving the market these days.

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April 26, 2023
Interest Rates Swung Dramatically

This end of the month Market overview looks at the dramatic swing in falling interest rates and how it affected market volatility. It also includes data showing how U.S. stocks have persevered through financial crisis and bank failures. Plus a new look at Money Market and Bond Fund flows.

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March 30, 2023
Money Market Assets at Historic Peak

This month’s Student of the Market looks at U.S. stock performance after peaks in Money Market fund assets and performance following peaks in inflation. The big question in many minds is “how long will this inflation last?” An answer might be found in these stats on prior inflation cycles. Plus a chart on a possible downside with risky income asset classes and more market insights.

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February 27, 2023
Anatomy of Bull Market Rebounds

Tracking sport stats is immensely popular - because what an athlete has done in the past can often give an indication of what they might do in the future. The history of bull market rebounds can shed similar insight. This month we look at historical performance following a bear market and the basic structure of a bull market. Included is a recap of performance based on how much the Fed raises rates, the most reliable recession indicator, and more.

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January 29, 2023
Don't Judge Diversification on Feelings

Focusing on what happened in 2022, this Student of the Market shows an overview of last year’s performance compared to similar years in the market’s history. This may be a window into the possibilities for 2023 and the future of Federal Reserve rate hikes. Also a look at the numbers showing that even though portfolio diversification works, it doesn’t always feel good.

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December 19, 2022
Big Bounce in October and November

Many are questioning if the bounce in stocks is recent durable? For now, this past Oct. & Nov. performance for U.S. stocks is being counted in the top 15 “best 2-month” performances since 1950. This month’s Student of the Market also shows the 2022 YTD stats for market volatility and growth vs. value fund assets, as well a more insight into what’s going on with bonds.

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